Financial analysis tools
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Greg Pomerantz 895efc9bff Correct ROC placement: ROC defers to the investor's LTCG, like
appreciation - a taxable-account feature, not an IRA one

Correction after user pushback. The earlier note "ROC does not help
the taxable case - the deferral replicates the IRA" was WRONG: a
traditional IRA defers to the ORDINARY rate at withdrawal, while ROC
in a taxable account defers to the LTCG rate on a >1y sale (the
distribution is basis-reducing and reappears inside the shareholder's
own capital gain). Under the premise LTCG rate < future ordinary
rate, ROC - like NAV appreciation - favors the taxable account.
Contrast ordinary income (interest, ordinary divs, STCG): taxed at
the ordinary rate in BOTH accounts, so only the IRA's deferral wins.

taxplan.py:
- _deferred_share(): per fund, share of 5y total return that defers
  to the investor = (NAV change + ROC) / total return, from the
  parsed per-share N-CSR table, max'd with the taxsplit appreciation
  share.
- >= 50% deferred -> location "TAXABLE (defers to LTCG)" (renamed
  from "TAXABLE (accrues)"); 10-50% ROC in distributions -> note.
- Merger-arb cap 0.35 -> 0.50: HMEZX's per-share table (52% NII /
  30% gains / 18% ROC over 5y) refutes "mostly STCG" - HMEZX/MERVX
  are now MIXED (check 1099), not clean IRA.
- RESEARCH.md: corrected placement write-up, incl. the distinction
  between the tax question and the fund-quality question (heavy ROC
  can mean principal erosion - PGSIX NAV -34%/5y - which affects
  selection, not the optimal account).

App: order dict + filter updated to the new location name.
Tests: merger-arb expectation updated to MIXED; 2 new checks for
the ROC upgrade/note logic. 99/99 fundlab + 32/32 app.
2026-08-27 17:11:55 -04:00
fundlab Correct ROC placement: ROC defers to the investor's LTCG, like 2026-08-27 17:11:55 -04:00
tests Correct ROC placement: ROC defers to the investor's LTCG, like 2026-08-27 17:11:55 -04:00
.gitignore N-PORT cross-check: verify top candidates' actual holdings 2026-08-27 12:43:17 -04:00
app.py Correct ROC placement: ROC defers to the investor's LTCG, like 2026-08-27 17:11:55 -04:00
chart_widget.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
data.py app: background cache refresh, per-benchmark stats, correlation tab, global date range 2026-08-25 18:15:47 -04:00
families.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
metrics.py app: background cache refresh, per-benchmark stats, correlation tab, global date range 2026-08-25 18:15:47 -04:00
portfolio.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
portfolios.json Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
portfolios.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
README.md data: manifest-based incremental refresh of the parquet cache 2026-08-24 17:28:20 -04:00
requirements.txt Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
run_tests.sh data: manifest-based incremental refresh of the parquet cache 2026-08-24 17:28:20 -04:00
run.sh Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
tax.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00

Stock & Portfolio Analyzer

Interactive tool for analyzing individual securities and portfolios against local Yahoo Finance dumps (~/prog/fin/stocks, ~4k symbols).

Quick start

python3 -m venv .venv
.venv/bin/pip install -r requirements.txt
./run.sh    # serves the UI on the fixed port 8599 (http://localhost:8599)

First run builds a parquet cache in .cache/ (~1 min for 4k symbols); later runs load in well under a second. The cache tracks the data dir per-file (mtime + size in .cache/manifest.json), so when the download is updated, only the changed/added/removed symbols are re-read — a partial refresh takes seconds instead of a full ~1 min rebuild.

Modules

Module Purpose
data.py Ingest {sym}-history/dividend/capitalGain.csv -> cached parquet panels (date x symbol), with manifest-based incremental refresh when the data dir changes. Adj Close already includes distributions, so it drives pre-tax total returns.
metrics.py Total/annualized return, vol, Sharpe, Sortino, max drawdown, Calmar, CAPM beta/alpha. Pure pandas, all transparent.
portfolio.py Weighted portfolios with drift and periodic rebalancing to target weights (1W/1ME/QE/YE), one-way cost in bps. Spec grammar: commas join the elements of ONE portfolio (SYM or SYM:w, bare = equal weight), spaces separate DISTINCT symbols/portfolios (parse_items).
tax.py Simplified DAS after-tax engine: FIFO lots, 365-day long/short split, separate LT/ST/dividend rates. Headline curve = what you keep if you sell everything today (unrealized gains taxed daily by lot age).
chart_widget.py Self-contained plotly.js chart in an iframe: mouse zoom/pan, x clamped to the data, view edges snapped to first/last data points with day-precise labels, y tight-fit, every line re-based to 1.0 at the left edge.
portfolios.py Saved portfolio definitions in portfolios.json (name, spec, scheme, cost).
settings.json Persisted UI inputs (symbol/benchmark specs, scheme, costs, tax rates, period, curve/window mode) — restored on every page load and server restart; delete to reset.
app.py Streamlit UI: single "symbol or portfolio" spec field (page updates as soon as the input is valid; unknown symbols get click-to-fix "did you mean" suggestions) + a benchmark box with the same grammar (one benchmark per line; a line is a single symbol or a comma-joined portfolio, simulated with the same scheme/cost/tax rules — pre- and after-tax curves, first one drives beta/alpha), scheme/costs/tax rates, save + load/compare/delete portfolios (overlaid pre/after-tax curves), curve toggle (both / pre-tax only / after-tax only), stats table, allocation, per-year tax detail.

Development

  • Run: ./run.shhttp://localhost:8599 (fixed port; no-ops if a server is already running). The chart loads plotly.js from a CDN; for fully offline use set F_INLINE_PLOTLY=1 in run.sh.
  • Test: ./run_tests.sh
    1. tests/test_app.py — app-level tests via Streamlit AppTest (no browser). Memory: one data bundle is ~2.3 GB, so this process keeps at most ONE AppTest alive (see its header comment).
    2. tests/test_e2e_browser.py — Playwright + headless Chromium driving the real page with real keystrokes; needs the server running on 8599. One-time setup: .venv/bin/pip install playwright and .venv/bin/python -m playwright install chromium.
  • Gotchas
    • Streamlit caches imported modules per process: restart the server after editing any .py (kill the old one first — run.sh refuses to double-start).
    • st.cache_data caches the portfolio + tax simulations: they recompute only when symbols/scheme/cost/tax rates change, not on window or curve toggles.
    • settings.json (gitignored) persists UI inputs across reloads and restarts; delete it to reset. Saved portfolios live in portfolios.json.
    • Data cache: .cache/*.parquet; rebuild via the sidebar checkbox (first build ~1 min for ~4k symbols).

Known simplifications (roadmap)

  • No loss carryover or carryforward across years; no wash-sale rules.
  • Distributed capital gains taxed entirely at the long-term rate.
  • Single (federal-like) tax bracket; no state taxes, no AMT.
  • Equal treatment of benchmark for beta/alpha (CAPM, rf = 0 by default).

Ideas: vectorbt sweeps over rebalance schemes, NiceGUI/Textual frontend, empyrical-reloaded metrics, monthly (not yearly) loss netting, tax-loss harvesting simulation.