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Greg Pomerantz afec7bda73 Alpha search: mine + screen the local DB for idiosyncratic alpha complements
Answer to 'find other alpha-driven funds that complement the portfolio':

- fundlab/search.py: complementarity screen - each fund's daily total
  returns vs the same 21 broad sleeve axes (BIC forward selection,
  |t|>2), full + 5y; alpha (intercept t), R2, rolling 6m alpha
  persistence, correlation vs the current qspnx/pmaix portfolio and the
  spy/agg/tlt benchmark mix. Verdict tiers: CANDIDATE (alpha +
  persistent + portfolio-corr<0.3) / semi-alpha / alpha-but-correlated /
  sleeve mix / weak.
- fundlab/dbmine.py: the actual search universe - the local stocks DB
  already holds ~100 US open-end alternatives (AQR, PIMCO, JPM,
  Principal, Calamos, GMO, Franklin K2, ...). Name-pattern miner with
  share-class family dedupe (keeps the longest-history class).
- fundlab/tickers.py + searchlist.py: external longlist resolution
  (chart-API name gate + EDGAR 497 cover tickers). Finding: the famous
  multi-strategy/macro names (Millennium, Balyasny, Two Sigma, Winton,
  Marshall Wace, Brevan Howard, AQR Event-Driven) are private/offshore
  or terminated - not US open-end accessible. Fidelity Multi-Asset
  Income (FMSDX) resolved and screens as weak alpha.
- app Fund Lab: 'Alpha search - all screened funds, ranked' table
  (80 funds: 13 shortlist + 59 mined + 1 external).
- results (ranked candidates, 5y alpha / t / portfolio-corr):
  wmnix Westwood Alt Income +3.8% t6.5 c0.09 | pyaix Payden ARB +3.0%
  t4.8 c0.13 | srdax Stone Ridge Div Alts +7.7% t4.2 c0.10 | padqx PGIM
  ARB +2.3% t2.4 c0.27 | bxmdx Blackstone Alt MS +3.5% t2.4 c0.30 |
  aqmix AQR Mngd Futures +8.0% t2.2 c0.21 | cmnix/gioix semi-alpha.
  Key insight: AQR MN / L/S-equity / Vanguard MN show strong alpha but
  corr 0.35-0.76 with the portfolio - it is already 50% market-neutral
  (qspnx), so more MN is not diversifying.
- tests: 59/59 fundlab (resolver gates, query ladder, family dedupe,
  ticker regex), 32/32 app, 14/14 data
2026-08-26 13:34:34 -04:00
fundlab Alpha search: mine + screen the local DB for idiosyncratic alpha complements 2026-08-26 13:34:34 -04:00
tests Alpha search: mine + screen the local DB for idiosyncratic alpha complements 2026-08-26 13:34:34 -04:00
.gitignore Fund Lab: N-PORT holdings page for the 16-fund shortlist 2026-08-26 09:59:24 -04:00
app.py Alpha search: mine + screen the local DB for idiosyncratic alpha complements 2026-08-26 13:34:34 -04:00
chart_widget.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
data.py app: background cache refresh, per-benchmark stats, correlation tab, global date range 2026-08-25 18:15:47 -04:00
families.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
metrics.py app: background cache refresh, per-benchmark stats, correlation tab, global date range 2026-08-25 18:15:47 -04:00
portfolio.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
portfolios.json Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
portfolios.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
README.md data: manifest-based incremental refresh of the parquet cache 2026-08-24 17:28:20 -04:00
requirements.txt Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
run_tests.sh data: manifest-based incremental refresh of the parquet cache 2026-08-24 17:28:20 -04:00
run.sh Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00
tax.py Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework 2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00

Stock & Portfolio Analyzer

Interactive tool for analyzing individual securities and portfolios against local Yahoo Finance dumps (~/prog/fin/stocks, ~4k symbols).

Quick start

python3 -m venv .venv
.venv/bin/pip install -r requirements.txt
./run.sh    # serves the UI on the fixed port 8599 (http://localhost:8599)

First run builds a parquet cache in .cache/ (~1 min for 4k symbols); later runs load in well under a second. The cache tracks the data dir per-file (mtime + size in .cache/manifest.json), so when the download is updated, only the changed/added/removed symbols are re-read — a partial refresh takes seconds instead of a full ~1 min rebuild.

Modules

Module Purpose
data.py Ingest {sym}-history/dividend/capitalGain.csv -> cached parquet panels (date x symbol), with manifest-based incremental refresh when the data dir changes. Adj Close already includes distributions, so it drives pre-tax total returns.
metrics.py Total/annualized return, vol, Sharpe, Sortino, max drawdown, Calmar, CAPM beta/alpha. Pure pandas, all transparent.
portfolio.py Weighted portfolios with drift and periodic rebalancing to target weights (1W/1ME/QE/YE), one-way cost in bps. Spec grammar: commas join the elements of ONE portfolio (SYM or SYM:w, bare = equal weight), spaces separate DISTINCT symbols/portfolios (parse_items).
tax.py Simplified DAS after-tax engine: FIFO lots, 365-day long/short split, separate LT/ST/dividend rates. Headline curve = what you keep if you sell everything today (unrealized gains taxed daily by lot age).
chart_widget.py Self-contained plotly.js chart in an iframe: mouse zoom/pan, x clamped to the data, view edges snapped to first/last data points with day-precise labels, y tight-fit, every line re-based to 1.0 at the left edge.
portfolios.py Saved portfolio definitions in portfolios.json (name, spec, scheme, cost).
settings.json Persisted UI inputs (symbol/benchmark specs, scheme, costs, tax rates, period, curve/window mode) — restored on every page load and server restart; delete to reset.
app.py Streamlit UI: single "symbol or portfolio" spec field (page updates as soon as the input is valid; unknown symbols get click-to-fix "did you mean" suggestions) + a benchmark box with the same grammar (one benchmark per line; a line is a single symbol or a comma-joined portfolio, simulated with the same scheme/cost/tax rules — pre- and after-tax curves, first one drives beta/alpha), scheme/costs/tax rates, save + load/compare/delete portfolios (overlaid pre/after-tax curves), curve toggle (both / pre-tax only / after-tax only), stats table, allocation, per-year tax detail.

Development

  • Run: ./run.shhttp://localhost:8599 (fixed port; no-ops if a server is already running). The chart loads plotly.js from a CDN; for fully offline use set F_INLINE_PLOTLY=1 in run.sh.
  • Test: ./run_tests.sh
    1. tests/test_app.py — app-level tests via Streamlit AppTest (no browser). Memory: one data bundle is ~2.3 GB, so this process keeps at most ONE AppTest alive (see its header comment).
    2. tests/test_e2e_browser.py — Playwright + headless Chromium driving the real page with real keystrokes; needs the server running on 8599. One-time setup: .venv/bin/pip install playwright and .venv/bin/python -m playwright install chromium.
  • Gotchas
    • Streamlit caches imported modules per process: restart the server after editing any .py (kill the old one first — run.sh refuses to double-start).
    • st.cache_data caches the portfolio + tax simulations: they recompute only when symbols/scheme/cost/tax rates change, not on window or curve toggles.
    • settings.json (gitignored) persists UI inputs across reloads and restarts; delete it to reset. Saved portfolios live in portfolios.json.
    • Data cache: .cache/*.parquet; rebuild via the sidebar checkbox (first build ~1 min for ~4k symbols).

Known simplifications (roadmap)

  • No loss carryover or carryforward across years; no wash-sale rules.
  • Distributed capital gains taxed entirely at the long-term rate.
  • Single (federal-like) tax bracket; no state taxes, no AMT.
  • Equal treatment of benchmark for beta/alpha (CAPM, rf = 0 by default).

Ideas: vectorbt sweeps over rebalance schemes, NiceGUI/Textual frontend, empyrical-reloaded metrics, monthly (not yearly) loss netting, tax-loss harvesting simulation.