Commit Graph

7 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
db5fc4626d Fund Lab: returns-based strategy decomposition for the 16 shortlist funds
- fundlab/decompose.py: per-fund OLS forward selection (BIC-gated, |t|>2,
  per-model complete cases so differently-vintaged candidates stay
  comparable) against curated DISTINCT-AXIS candidate sets; full-history
  + last-5y models; rolling 1y beta drift for static-vs-time-varying
  verdicts; per-fund holdings cross-check notes
- results (13 unique funds; pmfkx/lcrix/egrsx are share classes):
  * jlpsx  ~1.04x S&P 500, R2 0.96 5y  (cleanest)
  * lamhx  S&P + value/mid tilt, R2 0.95, stable
  * cosix  5y: HY +0.30 / MBS +0.29 / IG +0.18, R2 0.86
  * cvsix  market neutral, 5y R2 0.74, +5.5%/yr alpha (t 6.7)
  * pmaix  multi-asset: HY .62 / EFA .23 / comm .05 / bonds -.15
  * mbxix  hedge: ivv .39 / ief -.67 / fxe -.28, R2 0.53
  * atesx  NOT a static mix - rolling beta to its own QQQ/SPY holdings
            is 0.13-0.89 (median 0.30): the 'risk managed' overlay is real
  * qspnx/svarx/eagmx/atrfx/pmorx: market-neutral or idiosyncratic -
            alpha, not sleeves (qspnx +12.8%/yr alpha t 4.0)
  * lcorx/lcrix: new classes (Jul 2026), no history yet - holdings only
- atesx holdings: pulled from the adviser's SOI PDF (anchor-soi-5.31.26):
  QQQ 65.2% + SPY 29.3% + MMF 0.6%, options overlay 4.9%
- pool: added qqq (Nasdaq 100) - needed to fit tech-concentrated funds
- app Fund Lab tab: per-fund decomposition (verdict, R2 full/5y, alpha,
  tracking error, beta drift, component table + bar chart, holdings
  cross-check note) and an all-funds summary expander
- tests: ols/forward-select engine tests (50/50 fundlab)
2026-08-26 11:59:59 -04:00
54d26939dc Fund Lab: N-PORT holdings page for the 16-fund shortlist
- fundlab/nport.py: parse the fund's own category/percentage lines,
  as-of date, net assets and dollar-valued positions from N-PORT
  schedules of investments (handles per-fund and combined multi-fund
  family filings; conservative keyword bucketing of positions)
- fundlab/nport_cache/<sym>.json: parsed snapshots for 15 of 16 funds
  (raw SOI HTML kept locally, gitignored; source URLs + filing dates in
  nport_manifest.json, md5-verified against EDGAR)
- atesx: no current SOI found (Anchor's recent filings cover the Income
  fund) - listed with an honest note
- app.py: new 'Fund Lab' tab - pick a fund, see objective, reported
  composition (bar + table), rough keyword buckets, top positions, and
  the prospectus strategy excerpt
- tests: parser unit tests (section finding, category regex, buckets)
2026-08-26 09:59:24 -04:00
7b27920a77 fundlab: extract strategy sections from EDGAR docs; --strategy CLI mode
- extract_strategy(): finds the 'Principal Investment Strategies' /
  'main investment strategies' section, scores candidates (strategy prose
  +3, Q&A heading +2, TOC -5, risk subheading -5, stop-heading -2),
  truncates at the next section heading; falls back to the prose after
  the objective sentence when no heading exists
- fundinfo --strategy [--refresh]: populates the strategy field of
  funds.json from each fund's EDGAR document
- funds.json now carries objective + strategy for 20 funds (the 9
  curated index funds have no strategy: their objective is the strategy)
2026-08-25 23:06:13 -04:00
e9f8dfc462 fundlab: EDGAR investment-objective fetcher + curated fallback
- edgar.py: SEC FTS + submissions API; strict cover-gate extraction
  (name in title position or (TICKER) on the cover; underlying-reference
  names like leveraged wrappers rejected); 4-pass fetch (ticker->CIK
  filings, name search, annual reports, ticker search); keyword category
  classifier. Returns None rather than a wrong fund's objective.
- fundinfo.py CLI: curated -> cached -> EDGAR resolution into funds.json
- funds_curated.json: human-verified objectives for 13 benchmark-pool
  funds (iShares/Vanguard family-trust classes the scraper can't reach)
- tests: 26 checks incl. live EDGAR fetch of VTSAX
2026-08-25 18:15:48 -04:00
4f36bc7aea app: background cache refresh, per-benchmark stats, correlation tab, global date range
- data.py: non-blocking load_bundle(); background watcher thread refreshes
  the parquet cache (5s scan, 30s min rebuild cadence); refresh()/
  up_to_date()/generation()
- statistics tab: one table per benchmark (vs <label>), plain column names
  (beta/alpha/return/vol...), selectable+reorderable stat list in
  settings.json
- correlation tab: per-portfolio components-vs-benchmarks +
  all-portfolios-vs-benchmarks; numbered columns
- global date range (window radio + start/end boxes) applied to all tabs;
  metrics.xcorr(); equity window radio gains YTD/3M/1M
2026-08-25 18:15:47 -04:00
cba7291676 data: manifest-based incremental refresh of the parquet cache
The cache now tracks every file in the data dir (mtime_ns + size) in
.cache/manifest.json. On load, a directory scan is compared against the
manifest:
  - changed/added files are re-read and merged into the parquet panels
    (one read + one concat + one write per touched panel; new values
    win where present, old values kept where the new file is short)
  - removed files drop their symbols (and names)
  - an up-to-date cache is a ~30 ms memo hit

Measured on the real 4k-symbol set: full build 54 s, refresh of
5 modified + 1 added + 1 removed files 3.4 s. No scan TTL (a scan is
a few ms); a previous 5 s scan cache masked data updates.

Tests: tests/test_data.py (11 checks) added as step 1 of run_tests.sh.
2026-08-24 17:28:20 -04:00
d8703a7a63 Stock & Portfolio Analyzer: full UI rework
- single spec grammar for symbol and benchmark fields: commas join one
  portfolio (MSFT:0.6,V:0.4), spaces separate distinct symbols/portfolios;
  both fields accept one or many entries
- benchmarks simulated with the same scheme/cost/tax rules; per-benchmark
  beta/alpha columns; after-tax benchmark curves
- global Curve mode (pre/after/both) above the tabs; clean names in
  single-curve mode
- live updates: field commits on Enter/blur, page recomputes per rerun;
  portfolio+tax sims cached (st.cache_data); plotly.js from CDN (4.6MB ->
  browser-cached) with F_INLINE_PLOTLY=1 offline fallback
- chart: legend underneath, solid lines, pan sticks to data edges
  (width-preserving), zoom edge-clamped
- inputs persist in settings.json across reloads/restarts/devices
- tests: tests/test_app.py (AppTest) + tests/test_e2e_browser.py
  (Playwright) via ./run_tests.sh
2026-08-24 16:05:27 -04:00