Answer to 'find other alpha-driven funds that complement the portfolio':
- fundlab/search.py: complementarity screen - each fund's daily total
returns vs the same 21 broad sleeve axes (BIC forward selection,
|t|>2), full + 5y; alpha (intercept t), R2, rolling 6m alpha
persistence, correlation vs the current qspnx/pmaix portfolio and the
spy/agg/tlt benchmark mix. Verdict tiers: CANDIDATE (alpha +
persistent + portfolio-corr<0.3) / semi-alpha / alpha-but-correlated /
sleeve mix / weak.
- fundlab/dbmine.py: the actual search universe - the local stocks DB
already holds ~100 US open-end alternatives (AQR, PIMCO, JPM,
Principal, Calamos, GMO, Franklin K2, ...). Name-pattern miner with
share-class family dedupe (keeps the longest-history class).
- fundlab/tickers.py + searchlist.py: external longlist resolution
(chart-API name gate + EDGAR 497 cover tickers). Finding: the famous
multi-strategy/macro names (Millennium, Balyasny, Two Sigma, Winton,
Marshall Wace, Brevan Howard, AQR Event-Driven) are private/offshore
or terminated - not US open-end accessible. Fidelity Multi-Asset
Income (FMSDX) resolved and screens as weak alpha.
- app Fund Lab: 'Alpha search - all screened funds, ranked' table
(80 funds: 13 shortlist + 59 mined + 1 external).
- results (ranked candidates, 5y alpha / t / portfolio-corr):
wmnix Westwood Alt Income +3.8% t6.5 c0.09 | pyaix Payden ARB +3.0%
t4.8 c0.13 | srdax Stone Ridge Div Alts +7.7% t4.2 c0.10 | padqx PGIM
ARB +2.3% t2.4 c0.27 | bxmdx Blackstone Alt MS +3.5% t2.4 c0.30 |
aqmix AQR Mngd Futures +8.0% t2.2 c0.21 | cmnix/gioix semi-alpha.
Key insight: AQR MN / L/S-equity / Vanguard MN show strong alpha but
corr 0.35-0.76 with the portfolio - it is already 50% market-neutral
(qspnx), so more MN is not diversifying.
- tests: 59/59 fundlab (resolver gates, query ladder, family dedupe,
ticker regex), 32/32 app, 14/14 data
